I think it would depend whether the attacker can win a corner more than 41% of the time, rather than taking the shot. I would guess this is usually not the case?
Thanks for the comment. I may have missed something obvious but your 41% comes from where?
Either way I think you are right, that for players to start paying attention to winning corners rather than shooting they have to be able to ‘win’ corners at a certain rate to make this worthwhile.
And I think whether players actually ‘win’ corners ties into a more fundamental point. If I were completely new to the sport (which I’m not of course so I can see the nuances in the following simple example) and was told that the probability of scoring from a shot from all those taken at the Olympics was 0.089 (which it was in the women’s competition) and the probability of scoring a corner was 0.18 (also what it was across all the teams), I’d assume that coaches would be spending a lot of time training their players to win corners as a priority and shooting as a secondary skill. The difference in the rewards are obvious.
It is more complicated than this of course (where is the shot coming from, perhaps even who is taking it) but it is nevertheless the case that we do spend a lot of time training our players to execute a skill that, in general, has the less valuable outcome.
And the idea of going into the circle and looking to win a corner as a priority, along with the defending consequences of such an approach, is a thought to conjure with I think and at the very least, flesh out with some actual data to see what the current situation looks like.
Thanks..!’
Your welcome ... for whatever it may be you are giving thanks for 😀
I think it would depend whether the attacker can win a corner more than 41% of the time, rather than taking the shot. I would guess this is usually not the case?
Hi Keith,
Thanks for the comment. I may have missed something obvious but your 41% comes from where?
Either way I think you are right, that for players to start paying attention to winning corners rather than shooting they have to be able to ‘win’ corners at a certain rate to make this worthwhile.
And I think whether players actually ‘win’ corners ties into a more fundamental point. If I were completely new to the sport (which I’m not of course so I can see the nuances in the following simple example) and was told that the probability of scoring from a shot from all those taken at the Olympics was 0.089 (which it was in the women’s competition) and the probability of scoring a corner was 0.18 (also what it was across all the teams), I’d assume that coaches would be spending a lot of time training their players to win corners as a priority and shooting as a secondary skill. The difference in the rewards are obvious.
It is more complicated than this of course (where is the shot coming from, perhaps even who is taking it) but it is nevertheless the case that we do spend a lot of time training our players to execute a skill that, in general, has the less valuable outcome.
And the idea of going into the circle and looking to win a corner as a priority, along with the defending consequences of such an approach, is a thought to conjure with I think and at the very least, flesh out with some actual data to see what the current situation looks like.